The mainstream media is once again peddling questionable polls, claiming that Kamala Harris is beating Donald Trump in key swing states like Michigan. But anyone paying attention knows better.
These polls are nothing more than a ploy to demoralize Trump supporters and create a false sense of momentum for Harris. The truth? Trump has consistently outperformed polls in every election he’s run. The media is banking on people forgetting that.
Take a recent CNN poll, which claims Harris has a five-point lead over Trump in Michigan. Democrats have been quick to jump on the bandwagon, spreading the narrative that the 2024 race is all but over. But even Democratic Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer isn’t buying it.
Whitmer, speaking at the Texas Tribune Festival, flat-out rejected the poll results, calling them “just not true.” She knows what the media won’t admit: this race is far from decided, and Trump is still very much in the game.
From Fox News:
Democratic Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer fiercely rejected polls giving Vice President Kamala Harris a sizable lead over former President Trump, declaring “it’s just not true.”“It makes me nervous to see any poll that says there’s a five-point lead for Kamala Harris in Michigan now. It’s just not true,” Whitmer said Thursday at the Texas Tribune Festival.
“It’s gonna be a very close race…”
At the heart of the debate is the CNN poll, which sparked widespread media coverage and buzz on social media. The poll shows Harris ahead by five points, with third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, and Jill Stein also pulling in small percentages. Whitmer, however, pointed out a critical flaw in the polling methodology. CNN’s numbers failed to account for Kennedy’s exit from the race and his endorsement of Trump. Additionally, Stein’s influence in Michigan elections has been felt before—back in 2016, Hillary Clinton lost the state by 11,000 votes, and Stein earned just over that number.
Whitmer didn’t mince words. She emphasized that Michigan is a battleground, and it’s going to be a close race, no matter what the polls say. “You can’t sleep on Michigan,” she said, warning both sides that this state has a history of defying expectations. And she’s right. In 2020, the RealClearPolitics average of polls showed Joe Biden beating Trump in Michigan by over four points. The actual result? Biden won by less than three. Similarly, in 2016, Clinton was supposed to win Michigan by four points, yet Trump pulled off a stunning victory, winning by 0.3%.
The issue with these polls is clear: they often underestimate Trump’s voter base and overestimate the enthusiasm for his opponents. Whitmer herself admitted that Michigan has a diverse population and a strong history of independent voting. The state’s working-class roots and diverse demographic make it a tough nut to crack, and no poll can fully capture the mood of its voters. Whitmer noted that Michigan voters have a history of swinging between Republican and Democratic governors, reflecting the state’s unpredictable political landscape.
Despite what the media might say, Trump knows Michigan is crucial for 2024, and his campaign is well aware of the state’s importance. The polls may show Harris with a lead today, but as we’ve seen time and time again, Trump doesn’t play by the media’s rules. He consistently outperforms expectations, and Michigan could once again be the state that defies the so-called experts.
The media can keep pushing their questionable numbers, but when it comes to Trump, the only poll that matters is Election Day.
Key Takeaways:
- The media is pushing questionable polls showing Kamala Harris with a lead over Trump, but similar predictions in past elections have proven inaccurate.
- Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer rejected recent polls, warning that the race in Michigan will be much closer than reported.
- Trump has a history of outperforming polls, particularly in Michigan, where he won in 2016 despite predictions favoring his opponent.
Source: Fox News
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